Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- May 19, 2019

Reuters

Jarrett Blanc, National Interest: Now or Never: America is on the Clock to Remove Troops from Afghanistan

Using U.S. leverage to craft an Afghan settlement demands incredible deftness in both Washington and Kabul.

Afghanistan has entered a period of intense political uncertainty. In December, President Donald Trump reportedly ordered the Pentagon to draw up plans for drawdown options including a complete troop withdrawal from the country. By March, bilateral talks between the United States, led by Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, and the Taliban had “agreed in draft” on counterterrorism assurances the Taliban will provide to the United States and on U.S. troop withdrawal, addressing Washington’s key objectives. Kabul is not at the table, and its needs (an intra-Afghan dialogue and comprehensive ceasefire) were much more loosely “agreed in principle.” An informal intra-Afghan dialogue planned for Doha in April was canceled, and a Loya Jirga to demonstrate non-Taliban unity in Kabul instead laid bare deep divisions, with most opposition leaders refusing to attend.

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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- May 19, 2019

Is the United States heading for war with Iran? -- Jonathan Marcus, BBC

Trump is replaying his aggressive '150% pressure' North Korea negotiation playbook against Iran, but experts fear it could backfire spectacularly -- Tom Porter, Business Insider

For Iranians, economic crisis looms larger than US tensions -- Mehdi Fattahi and Nasser Karimi, AP

US-China trade war: What could Beijing do next? -- Karishma Vaswani,

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